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Grasping RealityBrad DeLong2026-06-06
Hormuz, Trump, & the $140/bbl. Question: CHART OF THE DAY

The Strait of Hormuz is closed, oil is climbing, and both sides insist the other will blink first. Iran’s leaders think they have found a structural advantage over Washington: they can outlast a US administration that fears swing‑state vote

Grasping RealityBrad DeLong2026-06-04
Stochastic Parrots & Subturing Minds: THURSDAY INFORMATION SOCIOLOGY

Reading, arguing, & prompting as different ways of making absent minds speak, from Machiavelli’s study to the fan‑whir of an M5 Max., for it is a fact that black squiggles on the page and linear algebra behind the screen both become voices

Grasping RealityBrad DeLong2026-06-02
CROSSPOST: NOAH SMITH: How Much More Software Do We Really Need?

“Not much of the kinds that we are used to”, says Noah Smith. His subhead: probably a lot, but not necessarily the kinds people have made money on so far. It is not that scaling laws are nearly exhausted for the machines. It is that the sca

Grasping RealityBrad DeLong2026-06-01
Stochastic Parrots on the Palatine Hill: Monday MAMLMs

On logs, Latin, and linear algebra: learning from a stochastic parrot; somewhat awkward questions about agency and pedagogy arising from working through one ridiculously knotty sentence of In Catilinam with an LLM…OpenClaw (now powered by o

Grasping RealityBrad DeLong2026-06-01
MIKE BEGGS: Zombie Marx: (PARTIAL) READING

Ah. Now I remember this! Mike Beggs rejecting the arguments of those jeering leftist morons who claimed Keynesian policies would not work in 2008-2010 but keeping the jeer. Still, I do want to have a few passages from this to hand should th

Grasping RealityBrad DeLong2026-05-31
The Viking Ráðagerð Further Gels: IMAGE OF THE DAY

This picture of a Ukrainian president in front of a Swedish fighter jet may be a sign of a significant change in the wind: if opinion, industry, and force structure align, a northern VIking Ráðagerð could become the mid‑continent super‑regi

Grasping RealityBrad DeLong2026-05-29
Vibe-SysAdmining: LAUGH OF THE DAY

In which a frontier LLM model tells me to configure a new chatbot to use model “/anthropic/claude-sonint-4-6”; yes, this only means that somewhere in the training data some poor SOB mistyped “sonint” for “sonnet”; but nothing with even spar