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Today’s digest is published in collaboration with Bill Bishop’s one-and-only Sinocism.The burst of “positive energy” among analysts following May’s Xi-Trump summit cooled somewhat towards the end of the month. On the significance of Trump’s

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Executive SummaryChinese academic commentary on Trump’s Beijing visit is markedly upbeat, portraying the summit as evidence that US-China relations have entered a new phase.Many authors go beyond official caution around a possible “new para

Ahead of our fuller assessment of Chinese reactions to this week’s summit, we turn to a related debate already underway: Chinese engagement with Trump’s revival of the G2 concept. The analysis below draws on a review of around fifty article

Travel note: Jacob is in New York and DC this week. Do get in touch if you would like to meet, exchange views, or simply say hello.The World To 2035: Executive SummaryUS–China bipolarity will become firmly entrenched. The US will maintain a

Given the breadth and sophistication of current debates among Chinese economists, we are trialling a dedicated monthly economics digest for paid subscribers. That breadth, however, should not be mistaken for unconstrained debate, nor for a

Today’s digest is published in collaboration with Bill Bishop’s Sinocism, the China newsletter many of us read before reading anything else. Read more

Today’s article is introduced by Dorothy J. Solinger, Professor Emerita at the University of California, Irvine, and one of the leading scholars of urban poverty, migrant exclusion and welfare change in reform-era China. Her long-standing w

Wu Xinbo (武心波)—not to be confused with the Fudan University professor and US specialist Wu Xinbo (吴心伯)—is an establishment scholar well-placed within the Shanghai policy ecosystem. He is deputy secretary-general of the Shanghai Institute fo

Trump’s announcement on Sunday of a blockade against Iran included a warning over Tehran’s tolls in the Strait of Hormuz: “no one who pays an illegal toll will have safe passage on the high seas.”Although it is not yet clear what the blocka

Discussions of the geopolitical opportunities the US-Israeli war with Iran may afford China are captivating, not least because they flatter a certain liberal consensus that Trump’s war is a grave strategic error.But it would be a mistake to

Today’s digest is published in collaboration with Bill Bishop’s Sinocism, the China newsletter many of us read before reading anything else.The war in Iran predictably dominates commentary in March.We covered initial reactions to the US-Isr

Zheng Yongnian (郑永年), one of China’s best-known public intellectuals, was among the very few voices in our Iran briefing to suggest that the US–Israeli strikes should prompt a more assertive Chinese foreign policy. In this interview with Gr

The essay below, by senior establishment economist Xia Bin (夏斌), is an unusually candid, systematic articulation of a broader Chinese instinct about finance—that it is inherently unstable, politically consequential, and useful only if bound

Intellisia is not a state-linked think tank, but nor is it a fringe outlet. Founded in 2015 by Jinan University professor Chen Dingding, it presents itself as one of China’s early “new-type” independent think tanks and enjoys a measure of s

With Iran’s future in question, we found this 2013 article by Zhang Wenmu, an old-school strategist from Beihang University, worth revisiting. One conclusion from our briefing on Chinese reactions to the recent US-Israeli strikes is that ma

Executive SummaryChinese expert commentary largely recommends pursuing a position of neutrality and mediation in the Iran-US war, with only two senior academics making subtle arguments for a more assertive posture.Zheng Yongnian writes that

Today’s digest is published in collaboration with Bill Bishop’s Sinocism, the China newsletter many of us read before reading anything else. — ThomasWhat is China’s place in a post-US-led global order? That question—given new urgency by the

The following is an account by Zhang Hong, a biologist at the Chinese Academy of Science (CAS), of a scientific culture being eroded by the infusion of centrally managed resources and overly bureaucratic assessments. Because most critiques

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