Trump-Xi Summit: Chinese Analysts on the New Strategic Stalemate

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Executive SummaryChinese academic commentary on Trump’s Beijing visit is markedly upbeat, portraying the summit as evidence that US-China relations have entered a new phase.Many authors go beyond official caution around a possible “new paradigm”, treating the summit itself as evidence of a paradigmatic shift.The optimism is caveated: authors cite implementation risks, US domestic politics, midterms, future administrations, alliances and wider systemic uncertainty.Some commentary frames the détente as tactical: Beijing gains “time and space”, while Washington gains “breathing space” [喘息之机].Still, only six of 50 authors primarily emphasise fragility. Most frame the thaw as evidence of deeper structural change.Wu Xinbo (吴心伯) is revealing: before the summit he described “fragile stability”; afterwards, he called the new stability “strategic and sustainable”.The core structural claim is that the balance of power has shifted, forcing Washington into a more equal relationship with Beijing.Zh… Read more